Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs Backlund 51.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 64.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Copp
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Copp
Backlund
Last 8: Copp 4-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Copp
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
53.2% (602)
-3.9%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
56.1% (66)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
39.0% (77)
+8.8%
On power play, Copp has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Copp is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Copp shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Copp
Backlund
Home
53.5% (114)
51.5% (400)
Away
52.5% (118)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Copp
Backlund
P1
53.2%
50.0%
P2
52.5%
56.4%
P3
54.3%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |