Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%). Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Backlund 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 58.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Compher
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Compher
Backlund
Last 9: Compher 6-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
51.5% (983)
+0.7%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
49.4% (87)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
45.3% (159)
-3.7%
On power play, Compher has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Compher shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Compher
Backlund
Home
54.4% (362)
51.6% (653)
Away
47.8% (295)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Compher
Backlund
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
49.8%
P3
51.4%
51.7%
OT
57.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |