Jaden Schwartz vs Mikael Backlund
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.1%). Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schwartz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.8% vs Backlund 48.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 84.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.2%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Schwartz
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Schwartz
Backlund
Last 8: Schwartz 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
3
1
Schwartz
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schwartz
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schwartz
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (101)
47.3% (1,070)
+2.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
62.1% (140)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
43.9% (269)
+6.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Schwartz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Schwartz shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Backlund
Home
51.4% (72)
49.1% (768)
Away
44.1% (68)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Schwartz
Backlund
P1
48.6%
46.8%
P2
47.7%
47.5%
P3
47.3%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
47.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |