Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McCann wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 37.1% vs Backlund 47.4% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 76.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 93.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 91.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
McCann
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
McCann
Backlund
Last 10: McCann 9-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
5
1
McCann
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (506)
48.7% (912)
-13.3%
Power Play
15.4% (13)
46.3% (82)
-30.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
38.3% (149)
-38.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCann is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (345).
McCann shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
McCann
Backlund
Home
30.3% (221)
48.2% (596)
Away
37.9% (301)
46.1% (547)
By Period
McCann
Backlund
P1
35.9%
49.3%
P2
31.1%
44.7%
P3
37.1%
47.0%
OT
40.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
27.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
34.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jared McCann |