Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Geekie 52.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Backlund
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Backlund
Geekie
Last 9: Backlund 3-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Backlund
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
53.2% (615)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
44.4% (36)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
44.4% (18)
+0.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Backlund
Geekie
Home
51.6% (653)
55.0% (331)
Away
49.3% (576)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Backlund
Geekie
P1
50.0%
53.9%
P2
49.8%
56.0%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |