Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Geekie 47.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 78.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Backlund
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Geekie
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
Backlund
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
45.7% (352)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
63.2% (19)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
33.3% (3)
+7.3%
On power play, Geekie has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Backlund
Geekie
Home
48.7% (749)
48.5% (165)
Away
48.1% (703)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Backlund
Geekie
P1
50.4%
48.5%
P2
50.1%
45.1%
P3
45.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |