Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Aman 41.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 54.4%
Defensive zone
Aman 54.0%
Neutral zone
Aman 50.9%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Backlund
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Backlund
Aman
Last 7: Backlund 3-4 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Aman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
2
Backlund
Aman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Aman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
40.2% (664)
+9.5%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
33.3% (9)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
34.3% (35)
+9.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Backlund
Aman
Home
49.7% (8,565)
39.6% (341)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
40.1% (367)
By Period
Backlund
Aman
P1
48.5%
41.9%
P2
50.3%
42.1%
P3
48.4%
35.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nils Aman |