Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Aman 40.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.0%
Defensive zone
Aman 64.8%
Neutral zone
Aman 53.3%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Backlund
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Aman
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
1
Backlund
Aman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
1
Backlund
Aman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Aman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
39.0% (439)
+12.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
42.9% (7)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
25.0% (28)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Backlund
Aman
Home
51.9% (673)
39.8% (259)
Away
49.9% (713)
36.3% (215)
By Period
Backlund
Aman
P1
51.4%
38.9%
P2
50.5%
41.7%
P3
51.4%
33.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nils Aman |