Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Aman 47.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 63.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Backlund
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Aman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
1
Backlund
Aman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
45.3% (150)
+5.7%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
0.0% (2)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
66.7% (6)
-24.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Aman is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Backlund
Aman
Home
51.2% (782)
40.6% (64)
Away
49.4% (765)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Backlund
Aman
P1
51.5%
52.0%
P2
49.8%
43.9%
P3
49.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nils Aman |