Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Cates 45.8% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Cates 62.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Backlund
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
44.3% (271)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
77.8% (18)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
31.7% (41)
+10.6%
On power play, Cates has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Backlund
Cates
Home
51.2% (782)
52.0% (148)
Away
49.4% (765)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Backlund
Cates
P1
51.5%
42.7%
P2
49.8%
42.9%
P3
49.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%