Mikael Backlund vs Noah Ostlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 91.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Backlund
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Ostlund
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Ostlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Backlund
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
32.5% (283)
+17.2%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
11.1% (9)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
33.3% (3)
+10.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Ostlund is 30.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ostlund
Home
49.7% (8,565)
37.0% (154)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Backlund
Ostlund
P1
48.5%
34.6%
P2
50.3%
32.0%
P3
48.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |