Mikael Backlund vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 64 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 85-83 in 168 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 56.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Backlund
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
85
-
83
(168 meetings)
85
83
Backlund
Stastny
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
19
45
Backlund
Stastny
64 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
37
17
Backlund
Stastny
54 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
29
21
Backlund
Stastny
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
59.1% (1,994)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stastny
Home
49.7% (8,565)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Backlund
Stastny
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
48.4%
53.5%
OT
44.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |