Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Backlund
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
57.5% (412)
-5.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
60.0% (65)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
44.4% (9)
-0.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stastny
Home
51.9% (673)
58.3% (276)
Away
49.9% (713)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Backlund
Stastny
P1
51.4%
63.7%
P2
50.5%
57.3%
P3
51.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%