Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 70.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Backlund
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Backlund
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
59.2% (370)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
40.9% (44)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
51.7% (58)
-6.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stastny
Home
51.6% (653)
57.7% (215)
Away
49.3% (576)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Backlund
Stastny
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
49.8%
54.2%
P3
51.7%
57.7%
OT
53.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |