Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Suter 49.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 58.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Backlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Backlund
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
47.2% (299)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
58.9% (56)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
54.5% (22)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suter
Home
51.2% (782)
51.7% (172)
Away
49.4% (765)
47.3% (205)
By Period
Backlund
Suter
P1
51.5%
48.2%
P2
49.8%
49.3%
P3
49.9%
51.2%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |