Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Suter 48.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 51.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Backlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Suter
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Backlund
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
50.1% (357)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
43.8% (16)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
40.5% (79)
+7.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suter
Home
48.1% (580)
48.0% (223)
Away
51.1% (653)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Backlund
Suter
P1
45.1%
48.9%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
49.0%
49.7%
OT
46.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |