Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Blueger 52.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 58.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 66.0%
Neutral zone
Blueger 65.4%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Backlund
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backlund
Blueger
Last 8: Backlund 5-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
54.2% (590)
-3.2%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
71.4% (14)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
48.0% (177)
-5.7%
On power play, Blueger has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Backlund
Blueger
Home
51.2% (782)
53.2% (378)
Away
49.4% (765)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Backlund
Blueger
P1
51.5%
54.3%
P2
49.8%
56.7%
P3
49.9%
48.9%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |