Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Blueger 50.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Backlund
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backlund
Blueger
Last 9: Backlund 4-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Backlund
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Backlund
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
53.3% (745)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
45.5% (11)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
41.7% (259)
-1.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Backlund
Blueger
Home
48.7% (749)
53.4% (504)
Away
48.1% (703)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Backlund
Blueger
P1
50.4%
46.6%
P2
50.1%
53.0%
P3
45.8%
50.8%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |