Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Backlund wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 51.7% vs Boyd 48.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Backlund
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Backlund
Boyd
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
0
Backlund
Boyd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
3
4
Backlund
Boyd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (602)
48.6% (140)
+4.6%
Power Play
56.1% (66)
35.0% (20)
+21.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Backlund is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Backlund shoots left. Boyd is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Backlund
Boyd
Home
51.5% (400)
52.8% (72)
Away
52.5% (345)
42.0% (88)
By Period
Backlund
Boyd
P1
50.0%
43.3%
P2
56.4%
40.7%
P3
48.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |