Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Boyd 43.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Backlund
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Backlund
Boyd
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Boyd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Backlund
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
43.4% (893)
+8.5%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
51.5% (136)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
34.6% (127)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Backlund
Boyd
Home
51.9% (673)
46.0% (570)
Away
49.9% (713)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Backlund
Boyd
P1
51.4%
38.9%
P2
50.5%
50.4%
P3
51.4%
41.1%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |