Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Boyd 44.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 19-19 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyd 56.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.4%
Neutral zone
Boyd 52.1%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Backlund
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
19
(38 meetings)
19
19
Backlund
Boyd
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
4
6
Backlund
Boyd
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
8
5
Backlund
Boyd
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
7
8
Backlund
Boyd
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
44.4% (2,186)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
46.5% (256)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
35.6% (208)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Backlund
Boyd
Home
49.7% (8,565)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Backlund
Boyd
P1
48.5%
41.7%
P2
50.3%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
44.0%
OT
44.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |