Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 66.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 53.5%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 63.4%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Backlund
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Backlund
Dellandrea
Last 9: Backlund 6-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Dellandrea
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
54.1% (355)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
53.8% (13)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
47.6% (143)
+0.2%
On even strength, Dellandrea has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dellandrea
Home
48.1% (580)
54.3% (278)
Away
51.1% (653)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Backlund
Dellandrea
P1
45.1%
54.2%
P2
54.7%
50.6%
P3
49.0%
51.8%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |