Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.7%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Dellandrea 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.1%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 50.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Backlund
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backlund
Dellandrea
Last 7: Backlund 4-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
3
Backlund
Dellandrea
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
52.3% (174)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
100.0% (1)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
38.5% (26)
+5.8%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Dellandrea is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dellandrea
Home
51.9% (673)
48.1% (108)
Away
49.9% (713)
53.8% (93)
By Period
Backlund
Dellandrea
P1
51.4%
55.4%
P2
50.5%
52.5%
P3
51.4%
46.1%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |