Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Backlund
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
Backlund
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
51.1% (356)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
100.0% (6)
-47.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
36.8% (57)
+3.8%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dellandrea
Home
48.7% (749)
46.7% (180)
Away
48.1% (703)
52.3% (239)
By Period
Backlund
Dellandrea
P1
50.4%
47.8%
P2
50.1%
50.9%
P3
45.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |