Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Johnson 48.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 65.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.4%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Backlund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Backlund
Johnson
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Backlund
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Backlund
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
48.5% (776)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
56.7% (157)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
26.4% (53)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Backlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Backlund shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnson
Home
48.2% (596)
48.8% (482)
Away
46.1% (547)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Backlund
Johnson
P1
49.3%
50.3%
P2
44.7%
48.5%
P3
47.0%
47.0%
OT
72.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |