Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Johnson 50.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Backlund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
47.4% (78)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
57.6% (33)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
100.0% (2)
-55.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnson
Home
51.9% (673)
50.9% (57)
Away
49.9% (713)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Backlund
Johnson
P1
51.4%
44.1%
P2
50.5%
59.4%
P3
51.4%
52.3%
OT
35.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |