Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Kozak 47.8% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 60.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Backlund
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
46.0% (137)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
66.7% (3)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
40.0% (5)
+0.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kozak
Home
48.7% (749)
51.2% (84)
Away
48.1% (703)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Backlund
Kozak
P1
50.4%
57.1%
P2
50.1%
34.7%
P3
45.8%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%