Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Backlund
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backlund
Karlsson
Last 6: Backlund 1-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Backlund
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Backlund
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
51.4% (735)
+0.1%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
63.5% (115)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
42.9% (133)
+2.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
51.6% (653)
52.3% (524)
Away
49.3% (576)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
50.7%
P2
49.8%
51.4%
P3
51.7%
53.2%
OT
53.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |