Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Granlund 48.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 62.0%
Defensive zone
Nazar 60.9%
Neutral zone
Nazar 62.9%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Nazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nazar
Granlund
Last 5: Nazar 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Nazar
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nazar
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
48.7% (446)
-1.8%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
56.6% (99)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
31.1% (61)
-5.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nazar shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Nazar
Granlund
Home
45.0% (329)
53.3% (255)
Away
47.2% (375)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Nazar
Granlund
P1
47.2%
51.3%
P2
43.1%
48.8%
P3
46.8%
44.4%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |