Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Granlund 47.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 82.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 58.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hughes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Granlund
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Hughes
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
46.7% (885)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
44.9% (69)
+5.1%
On even strength, Granlund has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Hughes
Granlund
Home
38.4% (198)
51.1% (495)
Away
35.3% (119)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Hughes
Granlund
P1
44.3%
49.9%
P2
34.2%
46.4%
P3
34.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |