Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Granlund 48.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 50.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 86.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 75.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Hughes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Hughes
Granlund
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
8
0
Hughes
Granlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
8
Hughes
Granlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hughes
Granlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
48.5% (6,718)
-12.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
52.7% (748)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
43.6% (635)
-12.6%
On power play, Granlund has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
Hughes
Granlund
Home
36.8% (1,670)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Hughes
Granlund
P1
36.9%
48.7%
P2
33.6%
48.7%
P3
38.1%
48.2%
OT
37.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
34.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |