Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Granlund 48.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 63.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 76.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Tavares
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Granlund
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
47.8% (959)
+6.2%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
54.7% (95)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Tavares shoots left. Granlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Tavares
Granlund
Home
56.8% (655)
50.5% (548)
Away
51.6% (715)
46.7% (537)
By Period
Tavares
Granlund
P1
54.1%
51.1%
P2
53.9%
49.1%
P3
54.3%
46.6%
OT
54.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |