Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.2%). Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 77.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Granlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Granlund
Schmaltz
Last 5: Granlund 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Granlund
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
1
Granlund
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
48.1% (268)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
50.5% (91)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
58.8% (17)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Granlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Granlund
Schmaltz
Home
54.8% (305)
49.0% (206)
Away
45.8% (419)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Granlund
Schmaltz
P1
43.8%
53.6%
P2
51.2%
46.2%
P3
53.9%
50.4%
OT
40.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |