Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 73.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 57.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Granlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Granlund
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
45.9% (665)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
46.8% (111)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
50.0% (24)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Granlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Granlund
Schmaltz
Home
53.3% (255)
44.7% (409)
Away
44.4% (351)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Granlund
Schmaltz
P1
51.3%
40.3%
P2
48.8%
47.6%
P3
44.4%
51.0%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |