Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Sturm 53.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 83.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 52.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 64.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Granlund
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Granlund
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Granlund
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Granlund
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
54.6% (271)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
54.4% (90)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Granlund
Sturm
Home
53.3% (255)
53.0% (168)
Away
44.4% (351)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Granlund
Sturm
P1
51.3%
58.2%
P2
48.8%
53.2%
P3
44.4%
52.3%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |