Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs Sturm 52.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 75.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 52.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Granlund
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Granlund
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Granlund
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
54.0% (480)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
28.6% (7)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
50.0% (102)
-9.8%
On power play, Granlund has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Granlund shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Granlund
Sturm
Home
45.9% (582)
54.0% (287)
Away
48.4% (624)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Granlund
Sturm
P1
48.6%
53.5%
P2
46.7%
51.0%
P3
46.9%
55.1%
OT
31.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |