Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs Steel 49.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 54.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 58.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Granlund
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Granlund
Steel
Last 10: Granlund 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Granlund
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
49.3% (383)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
59.1% (22)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
14.3% (7)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Granlund shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Granlund
Steel
Home
45.9% (582)
49.4% (180)
Away
48.4% (624)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Granlund
Steel
P1
48.6%
51.9%
P2
46.7%
43.8%
P3
46.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |