Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 56.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 55.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 52.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Granlund
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Granlund
Steel
Last 10: Granlund 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Granlund
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
5
Granlund
Steel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
50.6% (2,876)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
62.6% (179)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
37.4% (254)
+6.2%
On power play, Steel has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Granlund shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Granlund
Steel
Home
50.8% (3,884)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Granlund
Steel
P1
48.7%
51.9%
P2
48.7%
49.5%
P3
48.2%
49.6%
OT
44.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |