Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Monahan 54.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 53.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 66.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Granlund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Granlund
Monahan
Last 5: Granlund 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Granlund
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
57.1% (871)
-10.4%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
53.1% (262)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
44.6% (139)
+4.4%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Granlund shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Granlund
Monahan
Home
51.1% (495)
55.3% (644)
Away
42.9% (557)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Granlund
Monahan
P1
49.9%
53.9%
P2
46.4%
55.3%
P3
44.3%
54.4%
OT
25.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |