Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 69.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 68.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 68.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Granlund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Granlund
Monahan
Last 5: Granlund 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Granlund
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Granlund
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
53.2% (823)
-4.5%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
55.3% (159)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
48.4% (95)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Granlund
Monahan
Home
53.3% (255)
54.6% (529)
Away
44.4% (351)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Granlund
Monahan
P1
51.3%
49.0%
P2
48.8%
55.4%
P3
44.4%
53.6%
OT
55.6%
61.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |