Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.3%). Rantanen wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.0% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 52.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 67.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 64.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Rantanen
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (44)
51.3% (904)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
49.8% (265)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Rantanen is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Rantanen shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Suzuki
Home
48.4% (31)
50.6% (603)
Away
51.5% (33)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Rantanen
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
33.3%
47.5%
P3
70.6%
51.1%
OT
42.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |