Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 92.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 76.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Rantanen
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Rantanen
Suzuki
Last 10: Rantanen 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
7
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
4
Rantanen
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
49.4% (6,327)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
50.7% (1,338)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
43.6% (456)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Rantanen shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Suzuki
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
48.3% (946)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Rantanen
Suzuki
P1
49.0%
48.8%
P2
51.3%
49.1%
P3
51.8%
50.2%
OT
57.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OT | 01:32 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |