Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Roy 48.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 93.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Rantanen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rantanen
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Rantanen
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
48.3% (633)
+2.6%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
52.1% (48)
-8.4%
On power play, Roy has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Roy
Home
49.4% (241)
50.8% (376)
Away
48.6% (212)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Rantanen
Roy
P1
47.1%
53.8%
P2
46.7%
43.5%
P3
51.9%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |