Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 96.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 66.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Rantanen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Rantanen
Roy
Last 10: Rantanen 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
7
0
Rantanen
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Rantanen
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Rantanen
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
49.5% (283)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
45.5% (477)
-31.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Rantanen shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Roy
Home
53.0% (1,067)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.3% (946)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Rantanen
Roy
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
51.3%
46.3%
P3
51.8%
48.1%
OT
57.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |