Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Acciari 53.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 94.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.7%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 61.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Rantanen
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rantanen
Acciari
Last 7: Rantanen 2-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
5
Rantanen
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
54.5% (532)
-3.6%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
62.5% (8)
-18.8%
On power play, Acciari has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Acciari
Home
49.4% (241)
56.2% (281)
Away
48.6% (212)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Rantanen
Acciari
P1
47.1%
53.4%
P2
46.7%
57.1%
P3
51.9%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |