Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Acciari 51.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 82.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 50.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Rantanen
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rantanen
Acciari
Last 8: Rantanen 2-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
6
Rantanen
Acciari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
52.8% (3,276)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
48.2% (85)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
47.1% (1,061)
-32.8%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Rantanen shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Acciari
Home
53.0% (1,067)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
48.3% (946)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Rantanen
Acciari
P1
49.0%
52.2%
P2
51.3%
51.5%
P3
51.8%
50.5%
OT
57.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |