Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rantanen wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs Nash 51.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 73.6%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 63.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Rantanen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rantanen
Nash
Last 7: Rantanen 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
5
Rantanen
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
54.1% (292)
-7.8%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
57.1% (7)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.9% (98)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Rantanen shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Nash
Home
51.8% (197)
56.3% (183)
Away
39.5% (157)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Rantanen
Nash
P1
47.2%
58.9%
P2
44.8%
51.0%
P3
46.9%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |