Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 89.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Rantanen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rantanen
Nash
Last 9: Rantanen 3-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
6
Rantanen
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
48.7% (4,621)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
51.0% (249)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.9% (550)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Rantanen shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Nash
Home
53.0% (1,067)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
48.3% (946)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Rantanen
Nash
P1
49.0%
49.0%
P2
51.3%
47.9%
P3
51.8%
48.0%
OT
57.8%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Riley Nash |