Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.0% vs Thomas 51.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 60.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 73.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Rantanen
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rantanen
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (44)
50.1% (615)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
62.2% (98)
-12.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rantanen is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Rantanen shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thomas
Home
48.4% (31)
51.9% (374)
Away
51.5% (33)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Rantanen
Thomas
P1
50.0%
49.2%
P2
33.3%
55.3%
P3
70.6%
50.6%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |