Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Thomas 52.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 87.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Rantanen
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rantanen
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Rantanen
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
53.6% (924)
-2.7%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
55.2% (181)
-11.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thomas
Home
49.4% (241)
53.6% (606)
Away
48.6% (212)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Rantanen
Thomas
P1
47.1%
48.2%
P2
46.7%
55.3%
P3
51.9%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |